Thursday, November 6th, 2008

Daily Archive

Nov 6, 2008

6,527 and Counting

Posted by Kent Anderson under Historical, Technology, World of Tomorrow | Tags: , |
1 Comment 
Kevin Kelly

Image via Wikipedia

Kevin Kelly from Wired magazine shared two things — one a fact, one an idea — at this morning’s Web 2.0 conference:

The fact: It’s been 6,527 days since the first Web page appeared. That’s all. And look what has happened. What will the next 6,000 days bring?

The idea: The Web becoming a communication medium as rich, far-reaching, and innovative wasn’t possible in theory. A useful encyclopedia assembled by volunteer effort and semi-pro editors wasn’t possible in theory. Both were only possible in practice. This struck me as the reason why we have to do things rather than talk about them. Many things are only possible in practice, but seem impossible when talked about as theoretical.

In combination: When we do things, a lot can happen fast.

Enjoy day 6,528 of the Web!

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Nov 6, 2008

Internet Trends 2008

Posted by Kent Anderson under Business Models, Historical, Metrics and Analytics, Research, Technology, World of Tomorrow
[5] Comments 
Image representing Mary Meeker as depicted in ...

Image via CrunchBase

Yesterday, at the Web 2.0 Summit in San Francisco, Mary Meeker from Morgan Stanley gave her annual presentation on Internet trends. It was, as usual, like drinking from a fire hose. Here are some attempts at the demitasse approach.

  • YouTube is poised to become the #2 search engine worldwide. This would give Google the #1 and #2 search engines. Looks like that acquisition has paid off.
  • If Skype were a carrier like AT&T or T-Mobile, it would be the #1 carrier in the world within 2009, likely surpassing China Mobile in the number of subscribers it has.
  • Use of cellular modems is a hidden, growing trend, driving up connectivity and broadband access.
  • The iPhone is a game-changer. Believe it. Within 120 days after it launched, Motorola created a 350-person Android team, the CTO for Nokia resigned, Nokia acquired (the next day) an impressive text-messaging startup, and AT&T reorganized.
  • The current worldwide economic recession will mean that value propositions will be under severe pressure. Entities like Skype (with its awesome price advantages) and Amazon.com (with its world-class shopping experience and razor-thin margins) will do well. Fat will be trimmed ruthlessly.
  • Internet ad spending won’t be hurt as much as other forms because it was culled in 2000, and also because it is a more efficient market overall.
  • Undermonitized social networks and falling CPMs give marketers great opportunities in the recession.
  • The Top 10 emerging markets (monitored as such since 2001) will surpass the Top 10 established markets for Internet users in 2008.

Think about those things, and how they might affect your strategies and outlook. Read the full report. Then think again. The changes that are occurring, coupled with the macroscopic social and economic issues, will shake things up!

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