Clay Shirky was the opening keynote at the NFAIS Annual Conference this weekend. According to Shirky, the fact that our customers are connected matters, but the fact that they’re networked matters even more.
As an illustration of his point he told us a story about HSBC, a UK bank that instituted a no-penalty account targeted at UK college students and recent graduates. After attracting customers to these accounts, the bank decided to institute a £140 fee for overdrafts. As we all would have imagined, in the age of Facebook and social networking, account holders didn’t take this lightly. In fact, they organized online and were in the process of organizing an in-person demonstration when HSBC gave in.
As Shirky pointed out, unhappy customers may get some attention, but unhappy networked customers can quickly impact your business. The proliferation of technology that helps us connect to each other, publish, and share information may be wreaking havoc on our traditional publishing ecosystem, but these aren’t new problems.
The printing press enabled books to be reproduced 300 times faster than they could with a scribe. Aside from the obvious impact this had on the availability of information, it also had a less obvious effect on the Catholic church. Contrary to popular belief, the first items printed on the press in great number were not just Bibles, they were indulgences and, as a result of the speed at which they could be reproduced, indulgences proliferated. This lead to the excess that prompted Martin Luther to write the Ninety–Five Thesis, ultimately sparking the Protestant Reformation. What initially looked like it was going to strengthen the existing environment (by increasing access to the Bible and indulgences) ultimately up-ended it.
Abundance breaks more things than scarcity does. Society knows how to react to scarcity.
Think about that statement for a minute. “Society knows how to react to scarcity.” We know how to ration, save, and preserve when we need to do so. It’s much harder to set priorities and find our path when information abounds. We may drown. We may get side-tracked. We may shut down. But, in any case, abundance confuses and distracts us more than scarcity does.
While there were many more insights offered throughout this keynote, the other statement that caused me to pause was this:
It’s easy to say “preserve the best of the old and combine it with the best of the new,” but in revolution, the best of the new is incompatible with the best of the old. It’s about doing things a whole new way.
Perhaps there are ways in some cases to incrementally adjust what we’re doing. But when true revolution is required, can the old be preserved as anything more than a memory? Can it do anything more than inform?
Does this statement apply more to process and models and less to mission and vision? Or, in some cases, are our missions defined too narrowly, specifying how they must be accomplished, rather than broadly framing the impact we want to have on the world?
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Mar 3, 2010 at 1:50 pm
[...] Shirky at NFAIS: How Abundance Breaks Everything « The Scholarly Kitchen – Once again, @cshirky shows how to think about what's happening today. Shirky at NFAIS: How Abundance Breaks Everything [...]
Mar 3, 2010 at 5:37 pm
Ann, Thanks for posting from NFAIS.
Shirky’s comments remind me of a Feb 1 piece from Fortune, “Why doing good is good for business” (http://money.cnn.com/2010/02/01/news/companies/dov_seidman_lrn.fortune/index.htm).
A couple of outtakes:
“The world has changed, Seidman argues, and winner-take-all strategies are obsolete. He contends that the rise of information technology has made good behavior more important because it has become increasingly hard to hide bad behavior.”
The article also cites Thomas Friedman’s Hot, Flat, and Crowded:
“Today people can see into your life farther, faster, and cheaper than ever before. Dov really helped me understand the behavioral implications of that: You are on Candid Camera, so be good.”
It is very interesting to note the latent, harnessable power of individuals in the Web community to observe, react to, and profoundly impact major businesses. Managers trainied in traditional ‘red ocean’ business are quickly losing ground. The new potency lies with those who have the vision to connect the dots and mobilize the teeming masses–individual collaborators.
Mar 3, 2010 at 10:26 pm
[...] It is part of Clay Shirky Keynote at NFAIS annual conference as it was told by Ann Michael under “The Scholarly Kitchen” [...]
Mar 4, 2010 at 4:09 am
[...] that in the back of my mind, this morning I was reading the reports on Clay Shirky’s opening address to NFAIS. We know what to do about scarcity. But abundance confuses [...]
Mar 5, 2010 at 12:41 pm
[...] for the last few years. From a keynote at the National Federation of Advanced Information Services, Clay says: Abundance breaks more things than scarcity does. Society knows how to react to [...]
Mar 9, 2010 at 3:05 am
The Future of Book Publishing Business Models…
Tim O’Reilly tweeted a great article from the New York Times on the math of publishing traditional print versus eBooks. If you publish print books, and aren’t as aggressive as O’Reilly Media at experimenting with new forms, or looking over……
Mar 12, 2010 at 10:43 am
[...] Shirky at NFAIS: How Abundance Breaks Everything Clay Shirky was the opening keynote at the NFAIS Annual Conference this weekend. According to Shirky, the fact that our customers are connected matters, but the fact that they’re networked matters even more. [...]
Mar 12, 2010 at 3:11 pm
[...] Their refusal to adapt, I think, is logical and understandable. This week there have been a number of blogs on Clay Shirky’s keynote at NFAIS. While he apparently said a lot of insightful [...]
Mar 12, 2010 at 6:32 pm
I think there are fundamental problems with the logic here, because it confuses technological change abundance with ceteris paribus (all else remaining the same) abundance.
So the printing press had unforeseen consequences, which is a common experience with technological change.
An example of ceteris paribus abundance would be an exceptionally good crop, or growing season. The consequences of this are well known, because the topic has been studied at depth, because it happens cyclically.
In a free market, abundance creates a roller-coaster pricing scenario. In times of abundance, prices fall. In times of scarcity, prices rise.
The market response to this has been corporate farming. McDonald’s want stable beef prices, so they avoid the market and intensively farm their own beef.
So technology may be implemented in an organized manner to stabilize prices and innovate money-saving practices, in which case, its effects are to destroy the competition and effect social change that way.
But abundance? Not coping with? Nah.